Christopher E. Overton
Christopher E. Overton
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Challenges in control of COVID-19: short doubling time and long delay to effect of interventions
L Pellis, F Scarabel, HB Stage, CE Overton, LHK Chappell, E Fearon, ...
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 376 (1829), 20200264, 2021
Hospital length of stay for COVID-19 patients: Data-driven methods for forward planning
B Vekaria, C Overton, A Wiśniowski, S Ahmad, A Aparicio-Castro, ...
BMC Infectious Diseases 21, 1-15, 2021
Transmission dynamics of monkeypox in the United Kingdom: contact tracing study
T Ward, R Christie, RS Paton, F Cumming, CE Overton
bmj 379, 2022
Using statistics and mathematical modelling to understand infectious disease outbreaks: COVID-19 as an example
CE Overton, HB Stage, S Ahmad, J Curran-Sebastian, P Dark, R Das, ...
Infectious Disease Modelling 5, 409-441, 2020
Early epidemiological signatures of novel SARS-CoV-2 variants: establishment of B. 1.617. 2 in England
R Challen, L Dyson, CE Overton, LM Guzman-Rincon, EM Hill, HB Stage, ...
MedRxiv, 2021.06. 05.21258365, 2021
The rapid replacement of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant by Omicron (B. 1.1. 529) in England
RS Paton, CE Overton, T Ward
Science Translational Medicine 14 (652), eabo5395, 2022
Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics
ME Kretzschmar, B Ashby, E Fearon, CE Overton, J Panovska-Griffiths, ...
Epidemics 38, 100546, 2022
Short-term forecasts to inform the response to the Covid-19 epidemic in the UK
S Funk, S Abbott, BD Atkins, M Baguelin, JK Baillie, P Birrell, J Blake, ...
MedRxiv, 2020.11. 11.20220962, 2020
Using a household-structured branching process to analyse contact tracing in the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic
M Fyles, E Fearon, C Overton, ...
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 376 (1829), 20200267, 2021
Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling
B Swallow, P Birrell, J Blake, M Burgman, P Challenor, LE Coffeng, ...
Epidemics 38, 100547, 2022
Estimation of reproduction numbers in real time: conceptual and statistical challenges
L Pellis, PJ Birrell, J Blake, CE Overton, F Scarabel, HB Stage, ...
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society 185 …, 2022
Adjusting for time of infection or positive test when estimating the risk of a post-infection outcome in an epidemic
SR Seaman, T Nyberg, CE Overton, DJ Pascall, AM Presanis, ...
Statistical methods in medical research 31 (10), 1942-1958, 2022
EpiBeds: Data informed modelling of the COVID-19 hospital burden in England
CE Overton, L Pellis, HB Stage, F Scarabel, J Burton, C Fraser, I Hall, ...
PLoS computational biology 18 (9), e1010406, 2022
Approximating quasi-stationary behaviour in network-based SIS dynamics
CE Overton, RR Wilkinson, A Loyinmi, JC Miller, KJ Sharkey
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 84, 1-32, 2022
Methods for approximating stochastic evolutionary dynamics on graphs
CE Overton, M Broom, C Hadjichrysanthou, KJ Sharkey
Journal of Theoretical Biology 468, 45-59, 2019
Effectiveness of the BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) and the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (Oxford-AstraZeneca) vaccines for reducing susceptibility to infection with the Delta variant (B. 1.617 …
K Pattni, D Hungerford, S Adams, I Buchan, CP Cheyne, M García-Fiñana, ...
BMC infectious diseases 22 (1), 270, 2022
Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics. Epidemics 38, 100546
ME Kretzschmar, B Ashby, E Fearon, CE Overton, J Panovska-Griffiths, ...
Nowcasting the 2022 mpox outbreak in England
CE Overton, S Abbott, R Christie, F Cumming, J Day, O Jones, R Paton, ...
PLOS Computational Biology 19 (9), e1011463, 2023
Replacement dynamics and the pathogenesis of the Alpha, Delta and Omicron variants of SARS-CoV-2
T Ward, A Glaser, CE Overton, B Carpenter, N Gent, AC Seale
Epidemiology & Infection 151, e32, 2023
University of Manchester COVID-19 Modelling Group, Tom Wingfield, Graham F. Medley, Ian Hall, Lorenzo Pellis, and Thomas House. Using a household-structured branching process …
M Fyles, E Fearon, C Overton
Philosop. Trans. R. Soc. B: Biol. Sci 376 (1829), 20200267, 2021
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